Map 2 Winner leads at 60%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Map 2 Winner | 60% | +67% | $11K |
| 2 | Match Winner | 56% | +80% | $74K |
| 3 | Map 1 Winner | 52% | +90% | $14K |
| 4 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 52% | +94% | - |
| 5 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +98% | $669 |
| 6 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Team Falcons (+3.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | O/U 2.5 Games | 48% | +111% | $8K |
| 9 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Team Falcons (+3.5) | 38% | +160% | $500 |
| 10 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Team Falcons (+3.5) | 36% | +174% | - |
| 11 | Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5) | 34% | +199% | $8K |
| 12 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Spirit (+3.5) BEST VALUE | 31% | +223% | $1K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 1 match between Spirit and Team Falcons in the IEM Cologne Major Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 20 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to...
This prediction market tracks whether Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs will occur, with $116K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Map 2 Winner at 60%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $116K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-20. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 20, 2026 at 02:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Map 2 Winner at 60% probability, with $116K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $116K, with $116K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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