Match Winner leads at 60%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 60% | +65% | $70K |
| 2 | Map 1 Winner | 59% | +69% | $3K |
| 3 | Map 2 Winner | 56% | +80% | $13 |
| 4 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 5 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 6 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Team Falcons (+3.5) | 49% | +104% | - |
| 7 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 48% | +108% | - |
| 8 | O/U 2.5 Games | 48% | +111% | $3K |
| 9 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Team Falcons (+3.5) | 38% | +167% | $25 |
| 10 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Team Falcons (+3.5) | 36% | +182% | $25 |
| 11 | Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5) BEST VALUE | 34% | +199% | $189 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 1 match between Spirit and Team Falcons in the BLAST Open Porto Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. This market will...
This prediction market tracks whether Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs will occur, with $75K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Match Winner at 60%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $75K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-05. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 05, 2026 at 01:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 60% probability, with $75K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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