Match Winner leads at 80%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 80% | +26% | $115K |
| 2 | Map 2 Winner | 68% | +47% | $242 |
| 3 | Map 3 Winner | 68% | +47% | $220 |
| 4 | Map 1 Winner | 68% | +48% | $5K |
| 5 | O/U 3.5 Games | 66% | +53% | $5K |
| 6 | Map 4 Winner | 64% | +57% | $16 |
| 7 | Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) | 60% | +68% | $22K |
| 8 | Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Map 4 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Map 5 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5) | 49% | +104% | $52 |
| 13 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 48% | +111% | $196 |
| 14 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 48% | +111% | $2 |
| 15 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 48% | +111% | $2 |
| 16 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5) | 48% | +111% | $1K |
| 17 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5) | 45% | +122% | $2K |
| 18 | Map Handicap: TS (-2.5) vs MOUZ (+2.5) | 32% | +217% | $15K |
| 19 | O/U 4.5 Games BEST VALUE | 30% | +228% | $3K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand final match between Spirit and MOUZ in the BLAST Bounty Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 2 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if...
This prediction market tracks whether Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs will occur, with $168K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Match Winner at 80%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $168K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-02. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 02, 2026 at 00:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 80% probability, with $168K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $168K, with $168K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms