The market strongly favors Map 3 Winner at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
High Volume — $7.0M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Map 3 Winner | 100% | - | $909K |
| 2 | O/U 3.5 Games | 100% | - | $31K |
| 3 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% | - | $1K |
| 4 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5) | 100% | - | $13K |
| 5 | Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 6 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Spirit (+3.5) | 100% | - | $5 |
| 7 | Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5) | 100% | - | $53 |
| 8 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Spirit (+3.5) | 100% | - | $5 |
| 9 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 10 | Map 5 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5) BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand final match between Spirit and MOUZ in the BLAST Bounty Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 2 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if...
This prediction market tracks whether Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs will occur, with $7.0M in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Map 3 Winner is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
The market has seen $41K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-02. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 03, 2026 at 16:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Map 3 Winner at 100% probability, with $7.0M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $7.0M, with $41K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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