The market strongly favors Match Winner at 94%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 94% | +7% | $10K |
| 2 | Map 2 Winner | 88% | +13% | $31 |
| 3 | Map 1 Winner | 86% | +17% | $194 |
| 4 | Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5) | 76% | +32% | $7K |
| 5 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 65% | +54% | $200 |
| 6 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 64% | +55% | $183 |
| 7 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 55% | +83% | - |
| 8 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs OG (+6.5) | 48% | +111% | $20 |
| 9 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs OG (+6.5) | 45% | +122% | - |
| 10 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 44% | +127% | $602 |
| 11 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs OG (+6.5) | 42% | +135% | $19 |
| 12 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 36% | +182% | $25 |
| 13 | O/U 2.5 Games BEST VALUE | 22% | +344% | $987 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round of 32 match between Spirit and OG in the BLAST Bounty Qualifier, initially scheduled for July 23 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if S...
This prediction market tracks whether Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier will occur, with $19K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Match Winner is priced at 94%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $18K traded in the last 24 hours alone (95% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-23. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 23, 2026 at 00:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 94% probability, with $19K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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