The market strongly favors Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% | +0% | - |
| 2 | Map 2 Winner | 52% | +90% | $12K |
| 3 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Villainous (-3.5) vs Reign Above (+3.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | O/U 2.5 Games | 42% | +135% | $509 |
| 8 | Match Winner BEST VALUE | 32% | +217% | $27K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower Bracket Round 1 match between Villainous and Reign Above in the ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 8, 2...
This prediction market tracks whether Counter-Strike: Villainous vs Reign Above (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 Playoffs will occur, with $57K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $57K traded in the last 24 hours alone (101% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-09. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 09, 2026 at 02:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 at 100% probability, with $57K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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