The market strongly favors Match Winner at 90%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 90% | +10% | $8K |
| 2 | Map 2 Winner | 84% | +20% | $1K |
| 3 | Map 1 Winner | 80% | +25% | $520 |
| 4 | Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) | 68% | +46% | $3K |
| 5 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 67% | +49% | $9K |
| 6 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5) | 60% | +67% | - |
| 7 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 56% | +80% | $1K |
| 8 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 9 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-6.5) vs 9z (+6.5) | 45% | +122% | - |
| 10 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-6.5) vs 9z (+6.5) | 42% | +135% | $1K |
| 11 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 42% | +141% | - |
| 12 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-6.5) vs 9z (+6.5) | 34% | +199% | $75 |
| 13 | O/U 2.5 Games BEST VALUE | 28% | +251% | $1K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between Vitality and 9z in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 3, initially scheduled for June 12 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Vitality"...
This prediction market tracks whether Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 will occur, with $25K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Match Winner is priced at 90%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $25K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-12. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 12, 2026 at 03:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 90% probability, with $25K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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