Match Winner leads at 82%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 82% | +23% | $21K |
| 2 | Map 2 Winner | 78% | +27% | $204 |
| 3 | Map 1 Winner | 70% | +42% | $1K |
| 4 | Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) | 56% | +77% | $3K |
| 5 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5) | 54% | +85% | - |
| 6 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5) | 52% | +92% | - |
| 7 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 48% | +108% | - |
| 9 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 48% | +111% | - |
| 10 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 46% | +115% | $100 |
| 11 | O/U 2.5 Games BEST VALUE | 36% | +182% | $530 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between Vitality and FUT Esports in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 3, initially scheduled for June 11 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Vi...
This prediction market tracks whether Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 will occur, with $26K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Match Winner at 82%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $26K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-11. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 10, 2026 at 13:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 82% probability, with $26K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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