Match Winner leads at 78%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 78% | +27% | $67K |
| 2 | Map 2 Winner | 70% | +42% | $2K |
| 3 | Map 1 Winner | 66% | +53% | $3K |
| 4 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5) | 52% | +94% | $1K |
| 5 | Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) | 48% | +106% | $11K |
| 6 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 48% | +106% | - |
| 7 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5) | 48% | +108% | $396 |
| 8 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 48% | +111% | - |
| 9 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5) | 46% | +120% | $1K |
| 10 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 46% | +120% | $270 |
| 11 | O/U 2.5 Games BEST VALUE | 42% | +135% | $5K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between Vitality and MOUZ in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 3, initially scheduled for June 13 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Vitality...
This prediction market tracks whether Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 will occur, with $83K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Match Winner at 78%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $83K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-13. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 13, 2026 at 03:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 78% probability, with $83K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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