The market strongly favors Map 1 Winner at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Map 1 Winner | 100% | +0% | $17K |
| 2 | Match Winner | 100% | +0% | $39K |
| 3 | O/U 2.5 Games | 100% | +0% | $276 |
| 4 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 90% | +11% | - |
| 5 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: STATE (-6.5) vs Vitality Academy (+6.5) BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: STATE (-3.5) vs Vitality Academy (+3.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: STATE (-9.5) vs Vitality Academy (+9.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: STATE (-3.5) vs Vitality Academy (+3.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: STATE (-6.5) vs Vitality Academy (+6.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: STATE (-9.5) vs Vitality Academy (+9.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality Academy (-3.5) vs STATE (+3.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality Academy (-6.5) vs STATE (+6.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality Academy (-12.5) vs STATE (+12.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality Academy (-9.5) vs STATE (+9.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality Academy (-15.5) vs STATE (+15.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket semifinal match between Vitality Academy and STATE in the European Pro League Regular Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 18, 2026 at 4:00 A...
This prediction market tracks whether Counter-Strike: Vitality Academy vs STATE (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Playoffs will occur, with $58K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Map 1 Winner is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $58K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-18. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 18, 2026 at 11:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Map 1 Winner at 100% probability, with $58K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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