The market strongly favors Map 1 Winner at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Map 1 Winner | 100% | +0% | $17K |
| 2 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 90% | +11% | $5 |
| 3 | O/U 2.5 Games | 68% | +47% | $71 |
| 4 | Match Winner | 55% | +82% | $19K |
| 5 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Keyd (-3.5) vs Yawara Esports (+3.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Keyd (-6.5) vs Yawara Esports (+6.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Keyd (-9.5) vs Yawara Esports (+9.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Map Handicap: YAW (-1.5) vs Keyd (+1.5) | 33% | +203% | $10 |
| 12 | Map 2 Winner | 28% | +257% | $8K |
| 13 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Yawara Esports (-3.5) vs Keyd (+3.5) | 10% | +900% | $5 |
| 14 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Yawara Esports (-6.5) vs Keyd (+6.5) | 10% | +900% | $5 |
| 15 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 | 10% | +900% | - |
| 16 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 BEST VALUE | 10% | +905% | $10 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket round 1 match between Yawara Esports and Keyd in the ESL Challenger League South America Cup #1 Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 25, 2026...
This prediction market tracks whether Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Keyd (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #1 Playoffs will occur, with $45K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Map 1 Winner is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $43K traded in the last 24 hours alone (97% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-26. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 25, 2026 at 22:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Map 1 Winner at 100% probability, with $45K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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