The market strongly favors Match Winner at 89%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 89% | +12% | $25K |
| 2 | Game 2 Winner | 86% | +16% | $3K |
| 3 | Game Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs Hokori (+1.5) | 76% | +31% | $40K |
| 4 | Game 1 Winner | 68% | +46% | $120K |
| 5 | Ends in Daytime BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Any Player Rampage | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Any Player Rampage | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Any Player Rampage | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | First Blood in Game 2? | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 2 match between 1win and Hokori in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "1win" i...
This prediction market tracks whether Dota 2: 1win vs Hokori (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage will occur, with $107K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Match Winner is priced at 89%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $111K traded in the last 24 hours alone (103% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-20. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 20, 2026 at 11:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 89% probability, with $107K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $107K, with $111K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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