The market strongly favors Game 1 Winner at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Game 1 Winner | 100% | +0% | $250K |
| 2 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? | 100% | +0% | $195 |
| 3 | Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1? | 92% | +8% | - |
| 4 | Ends in Daytime | 90% | +11% | $25 |
| 5 | Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? | 90% | +11% | - |
| 6 | Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? | 90% | +11% | - |
| 7 | Match Winner | 71% | +41% | $27K |
| 8 | First Blood in Game 2? | 50% | +98% | - |
| 9 | Ends in Daytime BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Any Player Rampage | 50% | +100% | $436 |
| 14 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 2? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2? | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between 1win and OG in the Esports World Cup Group D, initially scheduled for July 10 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "1win" if 1win win the match ag...
This prediction market tracks whether Dota 2: 1win vs OG (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D will occur, with $784K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Game 1 Winner is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $784K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-10. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 10, 2026 at 19:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Game 1 Winner at 100% probability, with $784K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $784K, with $784K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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