The market strongly favors Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs Amaru Gaming (+1.5) at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs Amaru Gaming (+1.5) | 100% | +0% | $3K |
| 2 | Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1? | 100% | +0% | $60 |
| 3 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? | 100% | +0% | $60 |
| 4 | Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? | 100% | +0% | $65 |
| 5 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 100% | +0% | $325 |
| 6 | Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? | 100% | +0% | $60 |
| 7 | Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? | 90% | +11% | $115 |
| 8 | Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? | 90% | +11% | $165 |
| 9 | Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1? | 90% | +11% | $115 |
| 10 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 90% | +11% | - |
| 11 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 90% | +11% | - |
| 12 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Any Player Rampage | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% | +102% | - |
| 17 | Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2? BEST VALUE | 10% | +900% | $15 |
| 18 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 10% | +900% | - |
| 19 | Any Player Rampage | 10% | +900% | - |
| 20 | Ends in Daytime | 10% | +900% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between Amaru Gaming and LGD Gaming in the The International South America Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 17 a...
This prediction market tracks whether Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - The International South America Closed Qualifier Playoffs will occur, with $109K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs Amaru Gaming (+1.5) is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $109K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-18. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 17, 2026 at 21:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs Amaru Gaming (+1.5) at 100% probability, with $109K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $109K, with $109K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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