Market is split — Match Winner at 55%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 55% | +83% | $23K |
| 2 | Game 1 Winner | 52% | +94% | - |
| 3 | Game 2 Winner | 52% | +94% | - |
| 4 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% | +98% | - |
| 5 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% | +98% | - |
| 6 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | O/U 2.5 Games | 49% | +104% | - |
| 17 | Any Player Rampage | 49% | +104% | - |
| 18 | Any Player Rampage | 49% | +104% | - |
| 19 | Any Player Rampage | 49% | +104% | - |
| 20 | Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5) BEST VALUE | 28% | +264% | $14 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Dota 2 Winner match between Aurora and Team Liquid in the BLAST Slam Group D, initially scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if...
This prediction market tracks whether Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group D will occur, with $23K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market is closely contested, with Match Winner leading at just 55%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $23K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 30, 2026 at 11:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 55% probability, with $23K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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