The market strongly favors Match Winner at 88%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 88% | +13% | $10K |
| 2 | Game 1 Winner | 82% | +23% | $458 |
| 3 | Game 2 Winner | 80% | +24% | $141 |
| 4 | Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Rune Eaters (+1.5) | 64% | +55% | $7K |
| 5 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 56% | +79% | - |
| 6 | Ends in Daytime | 52% | +92% | - |
| 7 | Ends in Daytime | 52% | +92% | - |
| 8 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 52% | +94% | - |
| 9 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 52% | +94% | - |
| 10 | Any Player Rampage | 51% | +96% | - |
| 11 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +98% | - |
| 12 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% | +98% | - |
| 13 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? | 50% | +98% | $6 |
| 14 | First Blood in Game 2? | 50% | +102% | - |
| 15 | First Blood in Game 1? | 50% | +102% | - |
| 16 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 32% | +217% | - |
| 17 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 32% | +217% | - |
| 18 | O/U 2.5 Games | 30% | +228% | $875 |
| 19 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 30% | +239% | - |
| 20 | Both Teams Beat Roshan BEST VALUE | 28% | +257% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 2 match between Aurora and Rune Eaters in the Esports World Cup Survival, initially scheduled for July 15 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if...
This prediction market tracks whether Dota 2: Aurora vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival will occur, with $26K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Match Winner is priced at 88%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $26K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-15. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 15, 2026 at 08:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 88% probability, with $26K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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