Market is split — First Blood in Game 1? at 52%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | First Blood in Game 1? | 52% | +92% | - |
| 2 | Any Player Rampage | 51% | +96% | - |
| 3 | Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? | 51% | +96% | - |
| 4 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% | +98% | - |
| 5 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5) | 50% | +102% | $4K |
| 17 | Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? | 49% | +104% | - |
| 18 | First Blood in Game 2? | 48% | +106% | - |
| 19 | O/U 2.5 Games | 41% | +144% | - |
| 20 | Game 1 Winner BEST VALUE | 30% | +228% | $152 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper Bracket Semifinal 2 match between Aurora and Team Yandex in the PGL Wallachia Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This market w...
This prediction market tracks whether Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs will occur, with $16K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market is closely contested, with First Blood in Game 1? leading at just 52%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $15K traded in the last 24 hours alone (94% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-25. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 25, 2026 at 05:25 UTC, the leading outcome is First Blood in Game 1? at 52% probability, with $16K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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