Market is split — Game 1 Winner at 57%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Game 1 Winner | 57% | +74% | $658 |
| 2 | Match Winner | 57% | +75% | $19K |
| 3 | Game 2 Winner | 55% | +83% | $864 |
| 4 | Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1? | 50% | +98% | - |
| 5 | Ends in Daytime BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Any Player Rampage | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Any Player Rampage | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Any Player Rampage | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | Game Handicap: CARST (-1.5) vs Yangon Galacticos (+1.5) | 50% | +100% | $16 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket round 1 match between Carstensz and Yangon Galacticos in the The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 19...
This prediction market tracks whether Dota 2: Carstensz vs Yangon Galacticos (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs will occur, with $20K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market is closely contested, with Game 1 Winner leading at just 57%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $20K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-20. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 20, 2026 at 02:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Game 1 Winner at 57% probability, with $20K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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