Game Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs Conventus Stellarum (+1.5) leads at 70%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Game Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs Conventus Stellarum (+1.5) | 70% | +43% | $51 |
| 2 | First Blood in Game 2? | 63% | +59% | - |
| 3 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Any Player Rampage | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Any Player Rampage | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | O/U 2.5 Games | 30% | +233% | $449 |
| 18 | Game 2 Winner | 30% | +239% | $219K |
| 19 | Match Winner BEST VALUE | 17% | +488% | $165K |
| 20 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 2% | +6567% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 3 match between Conventus Stellarum and 1win in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. This market will resolv...
This prediction market tracks whether Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage will occur, with $974K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Game Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs Conventus Stellarum (+1.5) at 70%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $975K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-21. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 21, 2026 at 11:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Game Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs Conventus Stellarum (+1.5) at 70% probability, with $974K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $974K, with $975K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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