Match Winner leads at 78%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 78% | +27% | $24K |
| 2 | Game 2 Winner | 72% | +40% | $204 |
| 3 | Game 1 Winner | 70% | +42% | $473 |
| 4 | Game Handicap: CS (-1.5) vs PlayTime (+1.5) | 55% | +83% | $1K |
| 5 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 55% | +83% | - |
| 6 | First Blood in Game 1? | 54% | +87% | - |
| 7 | First Blood in Game 2? | 54% | +87% | - |
| 8 | Ends in Daytime | 52% | +94% | - |
| 9 | Ends in Daytime | 52% | +94% | - |
| 10 | Ends in Daytime | 52% | +94% | - |
| 11 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? | 50% | +98% | - |
| 12 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 44% | +130% | - |
| 13 | O/U 2.5 Games | 40% | +150% | - |
| 14 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 36% | +174% | - |
| 15 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 33% | +203% | - |
| 16 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 32% | +217% | - |
| 17 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 32% | +217% | - |
| 18 | Any Player Rampage | 32% | +217% | - |
| 19 | Any Player Ultra Kill BEST VALUE | 28% | +257% | - |
| 20 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 28% | +257% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 1 match between Conventus Stellarum and PlayTime in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for September 19, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. This market will re...
This prediction market tracks whether Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs PlayTime (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage will occur, with $26K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Match Winner at 78%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $25K traded in the last 24 hours alone (98% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-19. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 19, 2026 at 08:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 78% probability, with $26K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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