The market strongly favors Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
High Volume — $6.9M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? | 100% | - | $289 |
| 2 | First Blood in Game 2? | 100% | - | - |
| 3 | First Blood in Game 3? | 100% | - | - |
| 4 | Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 3? | 100% | - | - |
| 5 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 100% | - | - |
| 6 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 100% | - | - |
| 7 | Ends in Daytime | 100% | - | - |
| 8 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 100% | - | - |
| 9 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 3? | 100% | - | $60 |
| 10 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? | 100% | - | $5 |
| 11 | Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1? | 100% | - | $5 |
| 12 | Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1? | 100% | - | - |
| 13 | Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1? | 100% | - | - |
| 14 | Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 1? | 100% | - | - |
| 15 | Total Kills Over/Under 80.5 in Game 1? | 100% | - | - |
| 16 | Game Handicap: Liquid (-2.5) vs Team Falcons (+2.5) | 100% | - | $30 |
| 17 | Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5) | 100% | - | $5 |
| 18 | Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 3? | 100% | - | - |
| 19 | Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 3? | 100% | - | - |
| 20 | Game 4 Winner BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | $14K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Dota 2 Grand final match between Team Falcons and Team Liquid in the 1win Essence Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 5 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team...
This prediction market tracks whether Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - 1win Essence Playoffs will occur, with $6.9M in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
The market has seen $24K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-05. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 06, 2026 at 21:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? at 100% probability, with $6.9M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $6.9M, with $24K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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