Match Winner leads at 78%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 78% | +29% | $204K |
| 2 | Game 3 Winner | 70% | +44% | $191 |
| 3 | Game 2 Winner | 68% | +46% | $218 |
| 4 | Game 1 Winner | 64% | +57% | $395K |
| 5 | O/U 3.5 Games | 62% | +60% | $737 |
| 6 | Game 4 Winner | 62% | +63% | $636 |
| 7 | Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5) | 60% | +68% | $14K |
| 8 | Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | $13 |
| 9 | First Blood in Game 2? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | First Blood in Game 3? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | First Blood in Game 4? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 4? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | First Blood in Game 5? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 5? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Any Player Rampage | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Dota 2 Grand final match between Team Falcons and Team Liquid in the 1win Essence Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 5 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team...
This prediction market tracks whether Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - 1win Essence Playoffs will occur, with $616K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Match Winner at 78%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $617K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-05. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 05, 2026 at 17:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 78% probability, with $616K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $616K, with $617K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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