The market strongly favors Match Winner at 93%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 93% | +7% | $29K |
| 2 | Game 1 Winner | 92% | +9% | $2K |
| 3 | Game 2 Winner | 90% | +10% | $2K |
| 4 | Game Handicap: GL (-1.5) vs 4 Anchors and Ilmeria (+1.5) | 83% | +20% | $2K |
| 5 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 56% | +77% | - |
| 6 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 52% | +90% | - |
| 7 | Ends in Daytime | 52% | +92% | - |
| 8 | Ends in Daytime | 52% | +92% | - |
| 9 | Ends in Daytime | 52% | +92% | - |
| 10 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Any Player Rampage | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 34% | +194% | - |
| 13 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 31% | +223% | - |
| 14 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 29% | +245% | - |
| 15 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 28% | +257% | - |
| 16 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 28% | +264% | - |
| 17 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 26% | +285% | - |
| 18 | Any Player Rampage | 26% | +285% | $25 |
| 19 | O/U 2.5 Games | 14% | +641% | $214 |
| 20 | Any Player Rampage BEST VALUE | 12% | +733% | $50 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between GamerLegion and 4 Anchors and Ilmeria in the The International North America Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for...
This prediction market tracks whether Dota 2: GamerLegion vs 4 Anchors and Ilmeria (BO3) - The International North America Closed Qualifier Playoffs will occur, with $35K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Match Winner is priced at 93%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $19K traded in the last 24 hours alone (55% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-25. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 24, 2026 at 12:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 93% probability, with $35K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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