Match Winner leads at 78%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 78% | +29% | $6K |
| 2 | Game 1 Winner | 72% | +39% | $7K |
| 3 | Game 2 Winner | 72% | +39% | $6K |
| 4 | Any Player Rampage | 60% | +67% | - |
| 5 | Game Handicap: Grind (-1.5) vs Mentality Monster (+1.5) | 56% | +77% | $2K |
| 6 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 56% | +79% | - |
| 7 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 54% | +87% | - |
| 8 | Ends in Daytime | 51% | +96% | - |
| 9 | Ends in Daytime | 51% | +96% | - |
| 10 | Ends in Daytime | 51% | +96% | - |
| 11 | O/U 2.5 Games | 42% | +135% | - |
| 12 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 34% | +190% | - |
| 13 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 34% | +194% | - |
| 14 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 34% | +194% | - |
| 15 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 30% | +228% | - |
| 16 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 30% | +228% | - |
| 17 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 28% | +251% | - |
| 18 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 28% | +251% | - |
| 19 | Any Player Rampage | 26% | +289% | $25 |
| 20 | Any Player Rampage BEST VALUE | 20% | +413% | $40 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket round 1 match between Grind Back and Mentality Monster in the The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 18...
This prediction market tracks whether Dota 2: Grind Back vs Mentality Monster (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs will occur, with $21K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Match Winner at 78%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $21K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-19. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 18, 2026 at 20:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 78% probability, with $21K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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