Market is split — Game 2 Winner at 50%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Game 2 Winner | 50% | +98% | $252 |
| 2 | O/U 2.5 Games BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | $8 |
| 3 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Any Player Rampage | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Any Player Rampage | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Any Player Rampage | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Game Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs LEGION (+1.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | First Blood in Game 1? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | First Blood in Game 2? | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper Bracket Semifinal 2 match between LEGION and MOUZ in the PARI Universe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. This ma...
This prediction market tracks whether Dota 2: LEGION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PARI Universe Closed Qualifier Playoffs will occur, with $248K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market is closely contested, with Game 2 Winner leading at just 50%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $251K traded in the last 24 hours alone (101% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-06. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 06, 2026 at 18:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Game 2 Winner at 50% probability, with $248K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $248K, with $251K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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