The market strongly favors Ends in Daytime at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
High Volume — $1.3M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ends in Daytime | 100% | - | - |
| 2 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? | 100% | - | $91 |
| 3 | Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? | 90% | +11% | $5 |
| 4 | Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2? | 90% | +11% | $5 |
| 5 | Ends in Daytime | 90% | +11% | - |
| 6 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 90% | +11% | - |
| 7 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 90% | +11% | - |
| 8 | Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2? | 90% | +11% | $188 |
| 9 | Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? | 90% | +11% | $5 |
| 10 | Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2? | 90% | +11% | $5 |
| 11 | Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 2? | 51% | +96% | $5 |
| 12 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 10% | +900% | - |
| 13 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 10% | +900% | - |
| 14 | Any Player Rampage | 10% | +900% | - |
| 15 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 10% | +900% | - |
| 16 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 10% | +900% | - |
| 17 | Any Player Rampage | 10% | +900% | - |
| 18 | First Blood in Game 2? | 10% | +900% | - |
| 19 | First Blood in Game 1? | 10% | +900% | $25 |
| 20 | Total Kills Over/Under 80.5 in Game 2? BEST VALUE | 10% | +905% | $5 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between LGD Gaming and 1win in the Esports World Cup Group D, initially scheduled for July 9 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gami...
This prediction market tracks whether Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs 1win (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D will occur, with $1.3M in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Ends in Daytime is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $1.3M traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-10. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 09, 2026 at 21:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Ends in Daytime at 100% probability, with $1.3M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $1.3M, with $1.3M traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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