The market strongly favors Game 1 Winner at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Game 1 Winner | 100% | +0% | $296K |
| 2 | Ends in Daytime | 90% | +11% | - |
| 3 | First Blood in Game 1? | 90% | +11% | - |
| 4 | Match Winner | 84% | +18% | $23K |
| 5 | Game 2 Winner | 68% | +48% | $276K |
| 6 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Any Player Rampage | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | First Blood in Game 2? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 1? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Both Teams Beat Roshan BEST VALUE | 10% | +900% | - |
| 18 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 10% | +900% | - |
| 19 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 10% | +900% | - |
| 20 | Any Player Rampage | 10% | +900% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between LGD Gaming and OG in the Esports World Cup Group D, initially scheduled for July 8 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming...
This prediction market tracks whether Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs OG (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D will occur, with $590K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Game 1 Winner is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $590K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-08. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 08, 2026 at 19:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Game 1 Winner at 100% probability, with $590K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $590K, with $590K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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