Match Winner leads at 64%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 64% | +57% | $22K |
| 2 | Game 1 Winner | 60% | +68% | $3K |
| 3 | Game 2 Winner | 57% | +74% | $3K |
| 4 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 57% | +75% | - |
| 5 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 52% | +92% | - |
| 6 | Any Player Rampage | 52% | +92% | - |
| 7 | First Blood in Game 1? | 52% | +92% | - |
| 8 | First Blood in Game 2? | 52% | +94% | - |
| 9 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +98% | - |
| 10 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +98% | - |
| 11 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +98% | - |
| 12 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% | +98% | - |
| 13 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 50% | +98% | - |
| 14 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | O/U 2.5 Games | 46% | +115% | $23 |
| 16 | Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Xtreme Gaming (+1.5) | 36% | +174% | $1K |
| 17 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 31% | +223% | - |
| 18 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 30% | +228% | - |
| 19 | Both Teams Beat Roshan BEST VALUE | 28% | +257% | - |
| 20 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 28% | +257% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 1 match between Team Liquid and Xtreme Gaming in the Esports World Cup Survival, initially scheduled for July 14 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Tea...
This prediction market tracks whether Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival will occur, with $30K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Match Winner at 64%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $30K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-14. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 13, 2026 at 14:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 64% probability, with $30K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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