The market strongly favors Match Winner at 86%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 86% | +17% | $15K |
| 2 | Game 2 Winner | 78% | +28% | $381 |
| 3 | Game 1 Winner | 78% | +29% | $765 |
| 4 | Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Yakult Brothers (+1.5) | 63% | +59% | $5K |
| 5 | First Blood in Game 2? | 50% | +98% | - |
| 6 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Any Player Rampage | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | First Blood in Game 1? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Ends in Daytime BEST VALUE | 50% | +102% | - |
| 17 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% | +102% | - |
| 18 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +102% | - |
| 19 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% | +102% | - |
| 20 | Any Player Rampage | 50% | +102% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Team Liquid and Yakult Brothers in the BLAST Slam Group D, initially scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team...
This prediction market tracks whether Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group D will occur, with $21K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Match Winner is priced at 86%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $18K traded in the last 24 hours alone (85% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-29. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 29, 2026 at 16:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 86% probability, with $21K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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