The market strongly favors First Blood in Game 1? at 90%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | First Blood in Game 1? | 90% | +11% | - |
| 2 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +98% | - |
| 3 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | First Blood in Game 2? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 1? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Game 2 Winner | 12% | +733% | $17K |
| 12 | Ends in Daytime | 10% | +900% | - |
| 13 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 10% | +900% | - |
| 14 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 10% | +900% | - |
| 15 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 10% | +900% | - |
| 16 | Any Player Rampage | 10% | +900% | - |
| 17 | Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? | 10% | +900% | - |
| 18 | Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? | 10% | +900% | - |
| 19 | Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1? | 10% | +900% | - |
| 20 | Match Winner BEST VALUE | 6% | +1718% | $9K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Level UP and Nigma Galaxy in the Esports World Cup Group B, initially scheduled for July 10 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Level UP" if Leve...
This prediction market tracks whether Dota 2: Level UP vs Nigma Galaxy (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group B will occur, with $254K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: First Blood in Game 1? is priced at 90%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $254K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-10. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 10, 2026 at 13:45 UTC, the leading outcome is First Blood in Game 1? at 90% probability, with $254K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $254K, with $254K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms