Game 2 Winner leads at 72%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Game 2 Winner | 72% | +40% | $5K |
| 2 | Match Winner | 66% | +50% | $19K |
| 3 | Game 1 Winner | 62% | +63% | $504K |
| 4 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% | +98% | - |
| 5 | Ends in Daytime BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Any Player Rampage | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Any Player Rampage | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | First Blood in Game 1? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | First Blood in Game 2? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1? | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between MOUZ and Team Nemesis in the Esports World Cup Group C, initially scheduled for July 9 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the...
This prediction market tracks whether Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Nemesis (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C will occur, with $478K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Game 2 Winner at 72%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $478K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-09. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 09, 2026 at 15:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Game 2 Winner at 72% probability, with $478K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $478K, with $478K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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