The market strongly favors Game 1 Winner at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Game 1 Winner | 100% | - | $94K |
| 2 | Match Winner | 98% | +2% | $18K |
| 3 | Game 2 Winner | 96% | +5% | $50K |
| 4 | Game Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Pibbles Corp (+1.5) | 95% | +5% | $12K |
| 5 | First Blood in Game 1? | 91% | +10% | $10 |
| 6 | Ends in Daytime BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Any Player Rampage | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Any Player Rampage | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | First Blood in Game 2? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 2 match between MOUZ and Pibbles Corp in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "...
This prediction market tracks whether Dota 2: MOUZ vs Pibbles Corp (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage will occur, with $174K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Game 1 Winner is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $174K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-21. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 20, 2026 at 19:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Game 1 Winner at 100% probability, with $174K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $174K, with $174K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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