The market strongly favors Game 1 Winner at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
High Volume — $1.1M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Game 1 Winner | 100% | - | $398K |
| 2 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 100% | - | - |
| 3 | First Blood in Game 1? | 100% | - | - |
| 4 | Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? | 100% | - | - |
| 5 | Game 2 Winner | 100% | +0% | $600K |
| 6 | Match Winner | 100% | +0% | $124K |
| 7 | Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? | 100% | +0% | - |
| 8 | Game Handicap: Nem (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) | 100% | +0% | $50 |
| 9 | Ends in Daytime | 99% | +1% | - |
| 10 | Both Teams Beat Roshan BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Any Player Rampage | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Any Player Rampage | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | First Blood in Game 2? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 2% | +6567% | - |
| 20 | Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2? | 2% | +6567% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 3 match between Team Nemesis and MOUZ in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "T...
This prediction market tracks whether Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage will occur, with $1.1M in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Game 1 Winner is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $1.1M traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-21. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 21, 2026 at 12:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Game 1 Winner at 100% probability, with $1.1M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $1.1M, with $1.1M traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms