Market is split — Ends in Daytime at 50%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +100% | - |
| 2 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% | +100% | - |
| 3 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | Any Player Rampage | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Any Player Rampage | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | First Blood in Game 2? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 49% | +104% | - |
| 16 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 49% | +104% | - |
| 17 | Game 2 Winner | 30% | +228% | $8K |
| 18 | First Blood in Game 1? | 25% | +300% | $11 |
| 19 | Match Winner | 22% | +355% | $10K |
| 20 | Game 1 Winner BEST VALUE | 7% | +1329% | $186K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Nigma Galaxy and Aurora in the Esports World Cup Group B, initially scheduled for July 8 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nigma Galaxy" if Nig...
This prediction market tracks whether Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Aurora (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group B will occur, with $197K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market is closely contested, with Ends in Daytime leading at just 50%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $197K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-08. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 08, 2026 at 13:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Ends in Daytime at 50% probability, with $197K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $197K, with $197K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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