The market strongly favors Game 1 Winner at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Game 1 Winner | 100% | +0% | $21K |
| 2 | Game 2 Winner | 100% | +0% | $44K |
| 3 | Match Winner | 100% | +0% | $6K |
| 4 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 100% | +1% | - |
| 5 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 100% | +1% | - |
| 6 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Any Player Rampage | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Ends in Daytime BEST VALUE | 45% | +122% | - |
| 12 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 45% | +122% | - |
| 13 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 45% | +122% | - |
| 14 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 45% | +122% | - |
| 15 | Any Player Rampage | 45% | +122% | - |
| 16 | Ends in Daytime | 45% | +122% | - |
| 17 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 45% | +122% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket semifinal match between No Hoodwink and RE.Arise in the Asgard Championship Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 10 at 12:00PM ET. This market will...
This prediction market tracks whether Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs RE.Arise (BO3) - Asgard Championship Playoffs will occur, with $72K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Game 1 Winner is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $72K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-10. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 10, 2026 at 18:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Game 1 Winner at 100% probability, with $72K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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