Market is split — Any Player Ultra Kill at 58%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 58% | +72% | - |
| 2 | Any Player Rampage | 52% | +90% | - |
| 3 | Ends in Daytime | 52% | +94% | - |
| 4 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 52% | +94% | - |
| 5 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 52% | +94% | - |
| 6 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +98% | - |
| 7 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +98% | - |
| 8 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 50% | +98% | - |
| 9 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | First Blood in Game 2? | 48% | +106% | - |
| 11 | First Blood in Game 1? | 48% | +108% | - |
| 12 | O/U 2.5 Games | 46% | +115% | - |
| 13 | Game Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs Rune Eaters (+1.5) | 40% | +153% | $4K |
| 14 | Game 1 Winner | 36% | +174% | $3K |
| 15 | Game 2 Winner | 36% | +174% | $3K |
| 16 | Match Winner | 34% | +190% | $2K |
| 17 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 30% | +228% | - |
| 18 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 28% | +257% | - |
| 19 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 28% | +257% | - |
| 20 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks BEST VALUE | 28% | +264% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 1 match between Rune Eaters and Virtus.pro in the Esports World Cup Survival, initially scheduled for July 14 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Rune E...
This prediction market tracks whether Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival will occur, with $12K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market is closely contested, with Any Player Ultra Kill leading at just 58%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $12K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-14. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 13, 2026 at 14:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Any Player Ultra Kill at 58% probability, with $12K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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