Match Winner leads at 72%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 72% | +40% | $12K |
| 2 | Game 1 Winner | 66% | +53% | $473 |
| 3 | Game 2 Winner | 64% | +55% | $71 |
| 4 | Any Player Rampage | 62% | +61% | - |
| 5 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 62% | +63% | - |
| 6 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? | 56% | +79% | - |
| 7 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 53% | +89% | - |
| 8 | Ends in Daytime | 52% | +92% | - |
| 9 | Ends in Daytime | 52% | +92% | - |
| 10 | Ends in Daytime | 52% | +92% | - |
| 11 | First Blood in Game 1? | 52% | +92% | - |
| 12 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 48% | +108% | - |
| 13 | O/U 2.5 Games | 46% | +115% | $3 |
| 14 | Game Handicap: RNX (-1.5) vs Grind Back (+1.5) | 46% | +115% | $2K |
| 15 | First Blood in Game 2? | 46% | +120% | - |
| 16 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 36% | +182% | - |
| 17 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 34% | +194% | - |
| 18 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 34% | +194% | - |
| 19 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks BEST VALUE | 28% | +257% | - |
| 20 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 28% | +257% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket quarterfinal 2 match between REKONIX and Grind Back in the The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 20 at...
This prediction market tracks whether Dota 2: REKONIX vs Grind Back (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs will occur, with $14K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Match Winner at 72%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $14K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-20. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 20, 2026 at 05:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 72% probability, with $14K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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