The market strongly favors Ends in Daytime at 95%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ends in Daytime | 95% | +5% | - |
| 2 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 95% | +5% | - |
| 3 | Ends in Daytime | 90% | +11% | - |
| 4 | Game Handicap: REF (-1.5) vs Roar Gaming (+1.5) | 90% | +11% | - |
| 5 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% | +98% | - |
| 6 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Any Player Rampage | 50% | +100% | $116 |
| 8 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Any Player Rampage | 50% | +100% | $141 |
| 11 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Any Player Rampage | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks BEST VALUE | 10% | +900% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Roar Gaming and Team Refuser in the The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 15 at 12...
This prediction market tracks whether Dota 2: Roar Gaming vs Team Refuser (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffs will occur, with $89K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Ends in Daytime is priced at 95%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $89K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-15. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 15, 2026 at 07:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Ends in Daytime at 95% probability, with $89K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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