The market strongly favors Game 1 Winner at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Game 1 Winner | 100% | +0% | $69K |
| 2 | Ends in Daytime | 98% | +2% | $10 |
| 3 | Match Winner | 90% | +12% | $9K |
| 4 | Game Handicap: TM (-1.5) vs Spirit Academy (+1.5) | 85% | +18% | $910 |
| 5 | Game 2 Winner | 80% | +26% | $39K |
| 6 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Any Player Rampage | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Any Player Rampage | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% | +102% | - |
| 16 | O/U 2.5 Games BEST VALUE | 15% | +567% | $26 |
| 17 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 2% | +6567% | $5 |
| 18 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 2% | +6567% | $5 |
| 19 | Any Player Rampage | 2% | +6567% | $5 |
| 20 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 1% | +11011% | $5 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Two Move and Spirit Academy in the European Pro League Group B, initially scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "T...
This prediction market tracks whether Dota 2: Two Move vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Group B will occur, with $117K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Game 1 Winner is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $119K traded in the last 24 hours alone (101% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-17. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 17, 2026 at 14:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Game 1 Winner at 100% probability, with $117K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $117K, with $119K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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