Match Winner leads at 74%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 74% | +34% | $21K |
| 2 | Game 1 Winner | 66% | +53% | $2K |
| 3 | Game 2 Winner | 66% | +53% | $722 |
| 4 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 62% | +63% | - |
| 5 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? | 60% | +65% | - |
| 6 | Any Player Rampage | 60% | +68% | - |
| 7 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 57% | +74% | - |
| 8 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 53% | +89% | - |
| 9 | First Blood in Game 1? | 53% | +89% | - |
| 10 | Ends in Daytime | 52% | +92% | - |
| 11 | First Blood in Game 2? | 52% | +92% | - |
| 12 | Ends in Daytime | 52% | +92% | - |
| 13 | Ends in Daytime | 52% | +92% | - |
| 14 | Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5) | 44% | +130% | $12K |
| 15 | O/U 2.5 Games | 43% | +133% | $730 |
| 16 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 35% | +186% | - |
| 17 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 34% | +190% | - |
| 18 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 34% | +190% | - |
| 19 | Any Player Ultra Kill BEST VALUE | 30% | +239% | - |
| 20 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 30% | +239% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between Team Spirit and Nigma Galaxy in the The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 25 at 7:00...
This prediction market tracks whether Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs will occur, with $37K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Match Winner at 74%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $36K traded in the last 24 hours alone (96% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-25. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 25, 2026 at 05:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 74% probability, with $37K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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