Match Winner leads at 82%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 82% | +23% | $15K |
| 2 | Game 1 Winner | 74% | +36% | $21 |
| 3 | Game 2 Winner | 72% | +38% | $13 |
| 4 | Any Player Rampage | 62% | +61% | - |
| 5 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 58% | +72% | - |
| 6 | Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs 1win (+1.5) | 55% | +83% | $3K |
| 7 | First Blood in Game 2? | 52% | +92% | - |
| 8 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% | +98% | - |
| 9 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +98% | - |
| 10 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Both Teams Beat Roshan BEST VALUE | 50% | +102% | - |
| 20 | First Blood in Game 1? | 50% | +102% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 4 match between Team Yandex and 1win in the PGL Wallachia Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This market...
This prediction market tracks whether Dota 2: Team Yandex vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs will occur, with $18K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Match Winner at 82%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $18K traded in the last 24 hours alone (102% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-24. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 24, 2026 at 00:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 82% probability, with $18K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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