The market strongly favors Match Winner at 90%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 90% | +10% | $10K |
| 2 | Game 2 Winner | 82% | +22% | - |
| 3 | Game 1 Winner | 82% | +23% | $46 |
| 4 | Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Astra Invicta (+1.5) | 68% | +48% | $7K |
| 5 | Any Player Rampage | 62% | +60% | - |
| 6 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% | +102% | - |
| 17 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% | +102% | - |
| 18 | Any Player Rampage | 49% | +104% | - |
| 19 | Any Player Rampage | 49% | +104% | - |
| 20 | Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? BEST VALUE | 46% | +120% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 2 match between Team Yandex and Astra Invicta in the PARI Universe Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. This m...
This prediction market tracks whether Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Astra Invicta (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs will occur, with $18K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Match Winner is priced at 90%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $18K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-28. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 28, 2026 at 00:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 90% probability, with $18K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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