The market strongly favors Game 1 Winner at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Game 1 Winner | 100% | - | $30K |
| 2 | Match Winner | 100% | - | $410K |
| 3 | O/U 2.5 Games | 100% | - | $43 |
| 4 | Ends in Daytime | 100% | - | - |
| 5 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 100% | - | - |
| 6 | Ends in Daytime | 100% | - | - |
| 7 | First Blood in Game 1? | 100% | - | - |
| 8 | Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? | 100% | - | $10 |
| 9 | Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1? | 100% | - | $20 |
| 10 | Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? | 100% | - | $20 |
| 11 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 100% | - | $20 |
| 12 | Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2? | 100% | - | $20 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 1 match between Team Yandex and MOUZ in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for September 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "T...
This prediction market tracks whether Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage will occur, with $747K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Game 1 Winner is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $746K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-20. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 20, 2026 at 07:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Game 1 Winner at 100% probability, with $747K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $747K, with $746K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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