The market strongly favors Game 1 Winner at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Game 1 Winner | 100% | +0% | $583K |
| 2 | Match Winner | 93% | +8% | $153K |
| 3 | Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) | 88% | +14% | $8K |
| 4 | Game 3 Winner | 78% | +27% | $16K |
| 5 | Game 2 Winner | 72% | +40% | $101K |
| 6 | Game 4 Winner | 68% | +47% | $16K |
| 7 | Game Handicap: TY (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5) | 56% | +80% | $35K |
| 8 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 50% | +98% | $34 |
| 9 | First Blood in Game 2? BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | First Blood in Game 3? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 3? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | First Blood in Game 4? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 4? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | First Blood in Game 5? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 5? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Dota 2 Grand Final match between Team Yandex and Natus Vincere in the PGL Wallachia Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 8:45 AM ET. This market will reso...
This prediction market tracks whether Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs will occur, with $921K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Game 1 Winner is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $1.1M traded in the last 24 hours alone (118% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-27. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 27, 2026 at 14:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Game 1 Winner at 100% probability, with $921K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $921K, with $1.1M traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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