Match Winner leads at 62%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 62% | +60% | $21K |
| 2 | Game 2 Winner | 60% | +68% | $68 |
| 3 | Game 1 Winner | 59% | +69% | $209 |
| 4 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? | 58% | +71% | $15 |
| 5 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 57% | +75% | - |
| 6 | Any Player Rampage | 54% | +87% | - |
| 7 | First Blood in Game 1? | 52% | +94% | - |
| 8 | First Blood in Game 2? | 52% | +94% | - |
| 9 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 51% | +96% | - |
| 10 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 51% | +96% | - |
| 11 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +98% | - |
| 12 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +98% | - |
| 13 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +98% | - |
| 14 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | O/U 2.5 Games | 48% | +106% | $351 |
| 16 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 38% | +160% | - |
| 17 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 38% | +160% | - |
| 18 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 38% | +167% | - |
| 19 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 38% | +167% | - |
| 20 | Any Player Ultra Kill BEST VALUE | 36% | +174% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Dota 2 Quarterfinal 3 match between Team Yandex and Team Spirit in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 17 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to...
This prediction market tracks whether Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs will occur, with $22K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Match Winner at 62%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $22K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-16. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 16, 2026 at 10:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 62% probability, with $22K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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