The market strongly favors First Blood in Game 2? at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | First Blood in Game 2? | 100% | - | - |
| 2 | Game 1 Winner | 100% | - | $705 |
| 3 | Match Winner | 100% | - | $69K |
| 4 | O/U 2.5 Games | 100% | - | $1K |
| 5 | Ends in Daytime | 100% | - | - |
| 6 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 100% | - | $300 |
| 7 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 100% | - | $200 |
| 8 | Any Player Rampage | 100% | - | - |
| 9 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 100% | - | - |
| 10 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 100% | - | - |
| 11 | Ends in Daytime | 100% | - | - |
| 12 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 100% | - | - |
| 13 | First Blood in Game 1? | 100% | - | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket semifinal match between Vici Gaming and Team Refuser in the The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 17 at 5:25AM...
This prediction market tracks whether Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Refuser (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffs will occur, with $71K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: First Blood in Game 2? is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $17K traded in the last 24 hours alone (24% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-17. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 18, 2026 at 13:35 UTC, the leading outcome is First Blood in Game 2? at 100% probability, with $71K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms