The market strongly favors Match Winner at 96%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 96% | +5% | $21K |
| 2 | Game 1 Winner | 94% | +6% | $2K |
| 3 | Game 2 Winner | 94% | +7% | $1K |
| 4 | Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs 4ikibamboni (+1.5) | 88% | +13% | $11 |
| 5 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 52% | +94% | - |
| 6 | Any Player Rampage | 52% | +94% | - |
| 7 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +102% | - |
| 11 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +102% | - |
| 12 | Any Player Rampage | 49% | +104% | - |
| 13 | Any Player Rampage | 49% | +104% | - |
| 14 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 48% | +106% | - |
| 15 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 26% | +277% | - |
| 16 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 25% | +300% | - |
| 17 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 24% | +308% | - |
| 18 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 24% | +308% | - |
| 19 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 20% | +400% | - |
| 20 | O/U 2.5 Games BEST VALUE | 12% | +700% | $2K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket round 1 match between THE VISION and 4ikibamboni in the The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 22 at 1:00PM ET....
This prediction market tracks whether Dota 2: THE VISION vs 4ikibamboni (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs will occur, with $25K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Match Winner is priced at 96%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $25K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-23. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 22, 2026 at 17:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 96% probability, with $25K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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