The market strongly favors Match Winner at 92%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 92% | +8% | $14K |
| 2 | Game 2 Winner | 86% | +16% | $1K |
| 3 | Game 1 Winner | 86% | +16% | $2K |
| 4 | Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Team Resilience (+1.5) | 76% | +31% | $3K |
| 5 | Any Player Rampage | 62% | +63% | - |
| 6 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 58% | +72% | - |
| 7 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 57% | +74% | - |
| 8 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 57% | +74% | - |
| 9 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 55% | +83% | - |
| 10 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 54% | +85% | - |
| 11 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 54% | +87% | - |
| 12 | Ends in Daytime | 52% | +92% | - |
| 13 | Ends in Daytime | 52% | +92% | - |
| 14 | Ends in Daytime | 52% | +92% | - |
| 15 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 52% | +92% | $38 |
| 16 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% | +98% | - |
| 17 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? | 48% | +106% | $21 |
| 20 | First Blood in Game 1? BEST VALUE | 34% | +190% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 1 match between TEAM VISION and Team Resilience in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 12 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve...
This prediction market tracks whether Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Group Stage will occur, with $21K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Match Winner is priced at 92%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $20K traded in the last 24 hours alone (93% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-13. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 12, 2026 at 18:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 92% probability, with $21K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms