Match Winner leads at 76%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 76% | +31% | $40K |
| 2 | Game 1 Winner | 68% | +48% | $936 |
| 3 | Game 2 Winner | 68% | +48% | $22 |
| 4 | First Blood in Game 1? | 54% | +85% | - |
| 5 | First Blood in Game 2? | 54% | +87% | - |
| 6 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? | 53% | +89% | $22 |
| 7 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 53% | +89% | $22 |
| 8 | Ends in Daytime | 52% | +92% | - |
| 9 | Ends in Daytime | 52% | +92% | - |
| 10 | Ends in Daytime | 52% | +92% | - |
| 11 | First Blood in Game 3? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 3? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5) | 48% | +106% | $26K |
| 14 | O/U 2.5 Games | 40% | +147% | $2K |
| 15 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 33% | +203% | - |
| 16 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 32% | +208% | - |
| 17 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 32% | +212% | - |
| 18 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 32% | +217% | - |
| 19 | Any Player Rampage | 32% | +217% | - |
| 20 | Any Player Ultra Kill BEST VALUE | 28% | +264% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket final match between TEAM VISION and Team Yandex in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market wi...
This prediction market tracks whether Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs will occur, with $68K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Match Winner at 76%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $72K traded in the last 24 hours alone (106% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-22. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 21, 2026 at 23:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 76% probability, with $68K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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