No clear favorite. Ebola case in the US by June 30? leads at just 17%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ebola case in the US by June 30? | 17% | +488% | $281K |
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, thi...
This prediction market tracks whether Ebola case in the US by June 30? will occur, with $281K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by available information and market participant behavior.
No clear favorite has emerged — Ebola case in the US by June 30? leads at only 17% across 1 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
The market has seen $12K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-30. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 12, 2026 at 05:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Ebola case in the US by June 30? at 17% probability, with $281K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $281K, with $12K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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