No clear favorite. 800-839 leads at just 8%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 800-839 | 8% | +1098% | $5K |
| 2 | 840-879 | 8% | +1225% | $2K |
| 3 | 920-959 | 8% | +1225% | $2K |
| 4 | 880-919 | 7% | +1318% | $3K |
| 5 | 760-799 | 6% | +1553% | $2K |
| 6 | 960-999 | 6% | +1609% | $2K |
| 7 | 720-759 | 6% | +1624% | $2K |
| 8 | 1000-1039 | 6% | +1702% | $2K |
| 9 | 1400+ | 6% | +1718% | $3K |
| 10 | 680-719 BEST VALUE | 5% | +1752% | $3K |
| 11 | 1040-1079 | 5% | +2005% | $2K |
| 12 | 640-679 | 4% | +2339% | $5K |
| 13 | 1080-1119 | 4% | +2532% | $2K |
| 14 | 600-639 | 3% | +3025% | $3K |
| 15 | 1120-1159 | 3% | +3075% | $3K |
| 16 | 1160-1199 | 2% | +3982% | $2K |
| 17 | 1200-1239 | 2% | +4248% | $2K |
| 18 | 1280-1319 | 2% | +5614% | $2K |
| 19 | 1240-1279 | 2% | +6352% | $2K |
| 20 | 1320-1359 | 1% | +6797% | $2K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of July 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and repos...
This prediction market tracks whether Elon Musk # tweets in July 2026? will occur, with $230K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
No clear favorite has emerged — 800-839 leads at only 8% across 20 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
The market has seen $10K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 12, 2026 at 22:05 UTC, the leading outcome is 800-839 at 8% probability, with $230K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $230K, with $10K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms