Market is split — 120-139 at 60%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
High Volume — $10.6M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 120-139 | 60% | +67% | $597K |
| 2 | 140-159 | 33% | +200% | $614K |
| 3 | 160-179 BEST VALUE | 7% | +1251% | $511K |
| 4 | 180-199 | 1% | +7900% | $637K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts,...
As of May 14, 2026 at 19:55 UTC, the leading outcome is 120-139 at 60% probability, with $10.6M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $10.6M, with $3.1M traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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